Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.004151 0.004362 0.004579 0.004818 0.005076 0.005345 0.005647
2025-10-19 0.003765 0.004075 0.004406 0.004787 0.005217 0.005688 0.006246
2025-10-26 0.003523 0.003887 0.004287 0.004763 0.005317 0.005945 0.006717
2025-11-02 0.003330 0.003731 0.004181 0.004728 0.005382 0.006145 0.007113
2025-11-09 0.003239 0.003678 0.004182 0.004809 0.005575 0.006494 0.007697
2025-11-16 0.003099 0.003558 0.004094 0.004771 0.005617 0.006654 0.008047
2025-11-23 0.002992 0.003471 0.004036 0.004763 0.005689 0.006848 0.008446
2025-11-30 0.002867 0.003353 0.003935 0.004694 0.005676 0.006929 0.008693
2025-12-07 0.002760 0.003253 0.003850 0.004638 0.005673 0.007017 0.008950
2025-12-14 0.002684 0.003188 0.003805 0.004630 0.005730 0.007184 0.009321
2025-12-21 0.002557 0.003054 0.003667 0.004494 0.005610 0.007103 0.009333
2025-12-28 0.002506 0.003013 0.003645 0.004509 0.005691 0.007301 0.009754
2026-01-04 0.002471 0.002993 0.003650 0.004561 0.005825 0.007579 0.010316
2026-01-11 0.002404 0.002930 0.003597 0.004531 0.005845 0.007696 0.010639
2026-01-18 0.002345 0.002874 0.003551 0.004509 0.005873 0.007822 0.010983
2026-01-25 0.002286 0.002816 0.003500 0.004477 0.005883 0.007923 0.011290
2026-02-01 0.002270 0.002815 0.003525 0.004551 0.006050 0.008263 0.012005
2026-02-08 0.002216 0.002760 0.003475 0.004516 0.006054 0.008355 0.012313
2026-02-15 0.002174 0.002721 0.003445 0.004509 0.006099 0.008510 0.012737
2026-02-22 0.002114 0.002656 0.003378 0.004445 0.006054 0.008522 0.012912
2026-03-01 0.002061 0.002599 0.003320 0.004393 0.006025 0.008555 0.013126
2026-03-08 0.002026 0.002566 0.003293 0.004385 0.006063 0.008699 0.013546
2026-03-15 0.001953 0.002478 0.003189 0.004260 0.005913 0.008527 0.013378